Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 25.667996 29.165614 32.989211 37.483342 42.626155 48.333536 55.156112
2025-01-19 19.978420 24.613614 30.124701 37.177252 45.987940 56.664540 70.633650
2025-01-26 17.056115 22.412839 29.224279 38.559896 51.084826 67.395216 90.388871
2025-02-02 15.190199 21.059910 28.953536 40.413822 56.743834 79.351194 113.325350
2025-02-09 13.403948 19.449728 27.977615 40.985528 60.508372 89.007477 134.290546
2025-02-16 11.634656 17.562708 26.278685 40.159533 61.963341 95.314949 150.992677
2025-02-23 10.251494 16.033958 24.859410 39.473780 63.399142 101.589147 168.298008
2025-03-02 9.151931 14.786229 23.684769 38.958411 64.936041 108.071760 186.664217
2025-03-09 8.329763 13.871369 22.907736 38.948702 67.229333 115.973232 208.407705
2025-03-16 7.603241 13.022910 22.127516 38.806126 69.218607 123.508961 230.427245
2025-03-23 7.238025 12.743472 22.266008 40.258261 74.174797 136.859688 265.034506
2025-03-30 6.755722 12.200457 21.875445 40.687756 77.263533 147.089274 294.977444
2025-04-06 6.097020 11.287424 20.756900 39.694932 77.651648 152.466639 316.537862
2025-04-13 5.578391 10.580871 19.946253 39.200933 78.965471 159.857845 343.491319
2025-04-20 5.343904 10.390163 20.090174 40.605899 84.299400 176.125522 392.166284
2025-04-27 5.185704 10.329758 20.476823 42.544069 90.989908 196.133406 452.439419
2025-05-04 4.899158 9.979014 20.241259 43.141077 94.849204 210.481838 501.845395
2025-05-11 4.499679 9.353287 19.373969 42.267280 95.310798 217.236353 533.978585
2025-05-18 4.154318 8.806506 18.615555 41.542968 96.014193 224.622947 568.851648
2025-05-25 3.857741 8.335083 17.970535 40.998937 97.066351 232.963848 607.524702
2025-06-01 3.630537 7.993625 17.575633 40.988622 99.400571 244.741707 657.276679
2025-06-08 3.412412 7.651031 17.143393 40.838158 101.365691 255.849966 707.054418
2025-06-15 3.328739 7.607866 17.390959 42.370472 107.800164 279.378504 796.045088